Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
As of Wed, 14 Oct 2026 12:28:56 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 3.0% (100.0%), Above 3.1% (100.0%), Above 3.3% (99.0%). The market has $1.6M in volume and closes on Wed, 14 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 3.0% | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| Above 3.1% | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| Above 3.3% | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Above 3.2% | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Above 3.4% | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| Above 3.5% | 88.0% | 88.0¢ | 12.0¢ |
| Above 3.6% | 48.0% | 48.0¢ | 52.0¢ |
| Above 3.7% | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| Above 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Above 4.2% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Above 3.9% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Above 4.1% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Above 4.3% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Above 4.0% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Above 4.4% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1.6M
- Liquidity: $1.6M
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 3.0%:
If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.0% in the twelve months ending September 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes. In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown
Sources
Related markets
- CPI in September
- How high will inflation get this year?
- CPI in October
- Core CPI in October
- CPI YoY in November
- Core CPI YoY in November
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