Nobel Prize in Chemistry: 2026

As of Tue, 06 Oct 2026 22:42:25 UTC, Kalshi traders price Shankar Balasubramanian (24.0%), Harry Gray (15.0%), David Liu (13.0%). The market has $22K in volume and closes on Thu, 08 Oct 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Shankar Balasubramanian24.0%24.0¢76.0¢
Harry Gray15.0%15.0¢85.0¢
David Liu13.0%13.0¢87.0¢
David Allara13.0%13.0¢87.0¢
Chi-Huey Wong12.0%12.0¢88.0¢
Michele Parrinello11.0%11.0¢89.0¢
Eric Jacobsen10.0%10.0¢90.0¢
Peter G. Schultz10.0%10.0¢90.0¢
Krzysztof Matyjaszewski10.0%10.0¢90.0¢
James Collins9.0%9.0¢91.0¢
Kazunari Domen9.0%9.0¢91.0¢
Stephen Buchwald9.0%9.0¢91.0¢
Pieter Cullis8.0%8.0¢92.0¢
Bonnie Bassler8.0%8.0¢92.0¢
Hiroaki Suga8.0%8.0¢92.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Shankar Balasubramanian:

If Shankar Balasubramanian has won the 2026 Nobel Prize in Chemistry, then the market resolves to Yes. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Nobel Foundation. Any references to the Nobel Foundation or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Nobel Foundation and Kalshi.

Sources

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