Next Prime Minister of Spain?

As of Wed, 09 Sep 2026 19:13:31 UTC, Polymarket traders price Alberto Núñez Feijóo (82.0%), Pedro Sánchez (14.6%), Santiago Abascal (2.8%). The market has $284K in volume and closes on Sat, 01 Apr 2028.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Alberto Núñez Feijóo82.0%82.0¢18.0¢
Pedro Sánchez14.6%14.6¢85.4¢
Santiago Abascal2.8%2.8¢97.2¢
Isabel Díaz Ayuso0.5%0.5¢99.5¢
Carlos Cuerpo0.3%0.3¢99.8¢
Yolanda Díaz0.1%0.1¢99.9¢
María Jesús Montero0.1%0.1¢100.0¢
Ernest Urtasun0.1%0.1¢100.0¢
Aitor Esteban0.1%0.1¢100.0¢
Miguel Tellado0.1%0.1¢100.0¢
Ester Muñoz0.1%0.1¢100.0¢
Cuca Gamarra0.1%0.1¢100.0¢
Borja Sémper0.1%0.1¢100.0¢
Carles Puigdemont0.1%0.1¢100.0¢
Pepa Millán0.1%0.1¢100.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sources

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