Next Prime Minister of Italy?
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 11:49:05 UTC, Polymarket traders price Giorgia Meloni (53.5%), Giuseppe Conte (18.5%), Elly Schlein (17.5%). The market has $771 in volume and closes on Mon, 01 Jan 2029.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Giorgia Meloni | 53.5% | 53.5¢ | 46.5¢ |
| Giuseppe Conte | 18.5% | 18.5¢ | 81.5¢ |
| Elly Schlein | 17.5% | 17.5¢ | 82.5¢ |
| Roberto Vannacci | 8.5% | 8.5¢ | 91.5¢ |
| Silvia Salis | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Mario Draghi | 1.1% | 1.1¢ | 98.9¢ |
| Matteo Renzi | 0.9% | 0.9¢ | 99.2¢ |
| Matteo Salvini | 0.5% | 0.5¢ | 99.5¢ |
| Carlo Calenda | 0.4% | 0.4¢ | 99.7¢ |
| Antonio Tajani | 0.4% | 0.4¢ | 99.7¢ |
| Angelo Bonelli | 0.3% | 0.3¢ | 99.7¢ |
| Guido Crosetto | 0.3% | 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $771
- Liquidity: $266K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources
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