Next James Bond film: Actress cast as Moneypenny
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:03 UTC, Kalshi traders price Naomie Harris (14.0%), Phoebe Dynevor (12.0%), Jodie Turner-Smith (10.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Wed, 02 Jan 2030.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Naomie Harris | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| Phoebe Dynevor | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
| Jodie Turner-Smith | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| Meg Bellamy | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| Alison Oliver | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| Emma Corrin | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| Juno Temple | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| Jodie Comer | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Naomie Harris:
If Naomie Harris performs/ is announced as Moneypenny in the next James Bond film, then the market resolves to Yes. For the purposes of this Contract, Naomie Harris satisfies the Payout Criterion if either: Official Announcement: Naomie Harris is officially announced, confirmed, or publicly credited as cast to perform Moneypenny in the next James Bond film, regardless of whether the performance ultimately occurs; OR Actual Performance: Naomie Harris appears on stage, on screen, or in recorded content as Moneypenny in any official performance, showing, or release of the next James Bond film. Additional clarification(s): If the next James Bond film is entirely cancelled or abandoned before any official performance or release occurs, but Naomie Harris was officially announced in Moneypenny, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” If multiple people are announced for Moneypenny (e.g., alternating cast, dual casting), and Naomie Harris is among them, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” b The Contract may resolve to “No” prior to the Expiration Date if: (a) the next James Bond film is cancelled or completes its run without Naomie Harris being announced or performing in Moneypenny, or (b) another person is officially announced as the sole exclusive performer for Moneypenny.
Sources
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