Next James Bond film: Actress cast as Bond girl
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:59 UTC, Kalshi traders price Margaret Qualley (32.0%), Anya Taylor-Joy (22.0%), Sydney Sweeney (20.0%). The market has $18K in volume and closes on Wed, 02 Jan 2030.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margaret Qualley | 32.0% | 32.0¢ | 68.0¢ |
| Anya Taylor-Joy | 22.0% | 22.0¢ | 78.0¢ |
| Sydney Sweeney | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| Florence Pugh | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| Zendaya | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| Daisy Edgar-Jones | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Lily James | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Jodie Comer | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Ana de Armas | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Vanessa Kirby | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Adria Arjona | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Hunter Schafer | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Alicia Vikander | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Emma Mackey | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Cailee Spaeny | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $18K
- Liquidity: $18K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Margaret Qualley:
If Margaret Qualley performs/ is announced as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film, then the market resolves to Yes. For the purposes of this Contract, Margaret Qualley satisfies the Payout Criterion if either: Official Announcement: Margaret Qualley is officially announced, confirmed, or publicly credited as cast to perform a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film, regardless of whether the performance ultimately occurs; OR Actual Performance: Margaret Qualley appears on stage, on screen, or in recorded content as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in any official performance, showing, or release of the next James Bond film. Additional clarification(s): If the next James Bond film is entirely cancelled or abandoned before any official performance or release occurs, but Margaret Qualley was officially announced in a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl”, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” If multiple people are announced for a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” (e.g., alternating cast, dual casting), and Margaret Qualley is among them, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” b…
Sources
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