Next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?
As of Tue, 13 Oct 2026 20:24:11 UTC, Polymarket traders price Chris Thomas (98.6%), Alfred Cannan (0.4%), Jane Poole-Wilson (0.3%). The market has $8K in volume and closes on Sun, 01 Aug 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Thomas | 98.6% | 98.6¢ | 1.4¢ |
| Alfred Cannan | 0.4% | 0.4¢ | 99.6¢ |
| Jane Poole-Wilson | 0.3% | 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ |
| Alex Allinson | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Rob Callister | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Lawrie Hooper | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $8K
- Liquidity: $107K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Parliamentary elections to elect the House of Keys of the Isle of Man are scheduled to take place on September 24, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chief Minister of the Isle of Man following the 2026 Isle of Man parliamentary elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Chief Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chief Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the Isle of Man; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources
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