Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

As of Tue, 15 Sep 2026 21:48:51 UTC, Polymarket traders price No Next Chancellor before 2028 (64.5%), Person D (50.0%), Person E (50.0%). The market has $24K in volume and closes on Tue, 01 Jan 2030.

Updated: Tue, 15 Sep 2026 21:48:51 UTC

Current odds

Market details

• Venue: Polymarket
• Volume: $24K
• Liquidity: $386K
• Closes: Tue, 01 Jan 2030

Resolution rules

Friedrich Merz has served as Chancellor of Germany since May 6, 2025. This market will resolve to the next individual, other than Friedrich Merz, who assumes the office of Chancellor of Germany. To count for resolution, the individual must be elected Chancellor by the Bundestag and appointed by the Federal President. Any acting or caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chancellor takes office, or if Friedrich Merz is the next individual elected Chancellor, by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Chancellor before 2028”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bundestag and the Federal Government of Germany; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sources

• Source: Polymarket market

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