Nevada Governor election: Aaron Ford vote percent

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:14 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 44% (94.0%), At least 40% (94.0%), At least 42% (93.0%). The market has $7K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
At least 44%94.0%94.0¢6.0¢
At least 40%94.0%94.0¢6.0¢
At least 42%93.0%93.0¢7.0¢
At least 46%81.0%81.0¢19.0¢
At least 48%62.0%62.0¢38.0¢
At least 50%38.0%38.0¢62.0¢
At least 52%20.0%20.0¢80.0¢
At least 54%7.0%7.0¢93.0¢
At least 56%7.0%7.0¢93.0¢
At least 58%6.0%6.0¢94.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 44%:

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Aaron Ford in the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election is 44% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Aaron Ford ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

Sources

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