NE-03 House election: Adrian Smith vote percent
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 20:59:34 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 66% (93.0%), At least 68% (81.0%), At least 70% (63.0%). The market has $4K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 66% | 93.0% | 93.0¢ | 7.0¢ |
| At least 68% | 81.0% | 81.0¢ | 19.0¢ |
| At least 70% | 63.0% | 63.0¢ | 37.0¢ |
| At least 72% | 40.0% | 40.0¢ | 60.0¢ |
| At least 74% | 21.0% | 21.0¢ | 79.0¢ |
| At least 76% | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| At least 78% | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| At least 80% | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| At least 82% | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $4K
- Liquidity: $4K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 66%:
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Adrian Smith in the 2026 NE-03 House election is 66% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Adrian Smith ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
Sources
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