NC-04 House election: Max Ganorkar vote percent

As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 20:59:29 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 16% (97.0%), At least 18% (93.0%), At least 20% (76.0%). The market has $6K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
At least 16%97.0%97.0¢3.0¢
At least 18%93.0%93.0¢7.0¢
At least 20%76.0%76.0¢24.0¢
At least 22%51.0%51.0¢49.0¢
At least 24%27.0%27.0¢73.0¢
At least 26%12.0%12.0¢88.0¢
At least 28%9.0%9.0¢91.0¢
At least 32%6.0%6.0¢94.0¢
At least 30%6.0%6.0¢94.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 16%:

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Max Ganorkar in the 2026 NC-04 House election is 16% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Max Ganorkar ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

Sources

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