NC-03 House election: Greg Murphy vote percent

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:10 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 48% (91.0%), At least 50% (78.0%), At least 52% (63.0%). The market has $4K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
At least 48%91.0%91.0¢9.0¢
At least 50%78.0%78.0¢22.0¢
At least 52%63.0%63.0¢37.0¢
At least 54%44.0%44.0¢56.0¢
At least 56%27.0%27.0¢73.0¢
At least 58%14.0%14.0¢86.0¢
At least 62%7.0%7.0¢93.0¢
At least 60%7.0%7.0¢93.0¢
At least 64%6.0%6.0¢94.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 48%:

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Greg Murphy in the 2026 NC-03 House election is 48% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Greg Murphy ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

Sources

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