Natural Disaster in 2026?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:23:03 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes (10.5%). The market has $49 in volume and closes on Mon, 01 Mar 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 10.5% | 10.5¢ | 89.5¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $49
- Liquidity: $565
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET: - A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US - A major meteor strikes (10kt+) - A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6) - An 8.5+ earthquake occurs Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf
Sources
Related markets
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- How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
- Where will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?
- How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
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