MS-04 House election: Mike Ezell vote percent
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 20:59:34 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 60% (94.0%), At least 62% (88.0%), At least 64% (76.0%). The market has $3K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 60% | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| At least 62% | 88.0% | 88.0¢ | 12.0¢ |
| At least 64% | 76.0% | 76.0¢ | 24.0¢ |
| At least 66% | 61.0% | 61.0¢ | 39.0¢ |
| At least 68% | 42.0% | 42.0¢ | 58.0¢ |
| At least 70% | 23.0% | 23.0¢ | 77.0¢ |
| At least 72% | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| At least 76% | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| At least 74% | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $3K
- Liquidity: $3K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 60%:
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mike Ezell in the 2026 MS-04 House election is 60% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Mike Ezell ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
Sources
Related markets
- 2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- California Governor winner? (Person)
- Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.