MS-02 House election: Ron Eller vote percent
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:10 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 28% (94.0%), At least 30% (87.0%), At least 32% (77.0%). The market has $3K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 28% | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| At least 30% | 87.0% | 87.0¢ | 13.0¢ |
| At least 32% | 77.0% | 77.0¢ | 23.0¢ |
| At least 34% | 64.0% | 64.0¢ | 36.0¢ |
| At least 36% | 48.0% | 48.0¢ | 52.0¢ |
| At least 38% | 33.0% | 33.0¢ | 67.0¢ |
| At least 40% | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| At least 42% | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| At least 44% | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $3K
- Liquidity: $3K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 28%:
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Ron Eller in the 2026 MS-02 House election is 28% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Ron Eller ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
Sources
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