MS-01 House election: Trent Kelly vote percent

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:10 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 58% (92.0%), At least 56% (91.0%), At least 60% (84.0%). The market has $4K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
At least 58%92.0%92.0¢8.0¢
At least 56%91.0%91.0¢9.0¢
At least 60%84.0%84.0¢16.0¢
At least 62%71.0%71.0¢29.0¢
At least 64%55.0%55.0¢45.0¢
At least 66%38.0%38.0¢62.0¢
At least 68%25.0%25.0¢75.0¢
At least 70%15.0%15.0¢85.0¢
At least 72%8.0%8.0¢92.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 58%:

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Trent Kelly in the 2026 MS-01 House election is 58% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Trent Kelly ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

Sources

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