Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent

As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 18:57:45 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 15% (98.0%), At least 25% (97.0%), At least 20% (96.0%). The market has $11K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
At least 15%98.0%98.0¢2.0¢
At least 25%97.0%97.0¢3.0¢
At least 20%96.0%96.0¢4.0¢
At least 30%94.0%94.0¢6.0¢
At least 33%85.0%85.0¢15.0¢
At least 35%71.0%71.0¢29.0¢
At least 37%50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
At least 40%24.0%24.0¢76.0¢
At least 45%5.0%5.0¢95.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 15%:

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Seth Bodnar in the 2026 Montana Senate election is 15% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Seth Bodnar ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

Sources

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