MO-05 House election: Emanuel Cleaver vote percent
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:13 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 54% (97.0%), At least 56% (96.0%), At least 44% (96.0%). The market has $5K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 54% | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| At least 56% | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| At least 44% | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| At least 38% | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| At least 42% | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| At least 50% | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| At least 46% | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| At least 40% | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| At least 48% | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| At least 52% | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| At least 58% | 92.0% | 92.0¢ | 8.0¢ |
| At least 60% | 81.0% | 81.0¢ | 19.0¢ |
| At least 62% | 61.0% | 61.0¢ | 39.0¢ |
| At least 64% | 38.0% | 38.0¢ | 62.0¢ |
| At least 66% | 19.0% | 19.0¢ | 81.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $5K
- Liquidity: $5K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 54%:
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Emanuel Cleaver in the 2026 MO-05 House election is 54% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Emanuel Cleaver ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
Sources
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