MO-04 House election: Mark Alford vote percent
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:10 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 56% (95.0%), At least 50% (94.0%), At least 52% (94.0%). The market has $11K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 56% | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| At least 50% | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| At least 52% | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| At least 54% | 93.0% | 93.0¢ | 7.0¢ |
| At least 58% | 89.0% | 89.0¢ | 11.0¢ |
| At least 60% | 73.0% | 73.0¢ | 27.0¢ |
| At least 62% | 61.0% | 61.0¢ | 39.0¢ |
| At least 64% | 44.0% | 44.0¢ | 56.0¢ |
| At least 66% | 28.0% | 28.0¢ | 72.0¢ |
| At least 68% | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| At least 70% | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| At least 72% | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| At least 74% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $11K
- Liquidity: $11K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 56%:
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mark Alford in the 2026 MO-04 House election is 56% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Mark Alford ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
Sources
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