MN-05 House election: John Nagel vote percent
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:10 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 18% (94.0%), At least 14% (94.0%), At least 16% (93.0%). The market has $10K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 18% | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| At least 14% | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| At least 16% | 93.0% | 93.0¢ | 7.0¢ |
| At least 20% | 81.0% | 81.0¢ | 19.0¢ |
| At least 22% | 60.0% | 60.0¢ | 40.0¢ |
| At least 24% | 37.0% | 37.0¢ | 63.0¢ |
| At least 26% | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| At least 28% | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| At least 30% | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $10K
- Liquidity: $10K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 18%:
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by John Nagel in the 2026 MN-05 House election is 18% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by John Nagel ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
Sources
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