Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by...?

As of Fri, 23 Oct 2026 06:28:29 UTC, Polymarket traders price November 30 (50.5%), October 31 (34.0%). The market has $529 in volume and closes on Tue, 01 Dec 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
November 3050.5%50.5¢49.5¢
October 3134.0%34.0¢66.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if King Khalid International Airport (RUH) is targeted by a qualifying military action between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Riyadh Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” King Khalid International Airport refers to the international airport serving Riyadh, Saudi Arabia (IATA: RUH; ICAO: OERK), including its runways, taxiways, aprons, terminals, and other facilities within the airport grounds. A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike that impacts King Khalid International Airport. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles. The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Munitions destroyed or intercepted before impact; Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed. Any munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munition…

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