Michigan Senate General Election: voter turnout

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:57 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 3.80M (95.0%), Above 4.10M (91.0%), Above 4.40M (80.0%). The market has $13K in volume and closes on Wed, 03 Nov 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above 3.80M95.0%95.0¢5.0¢
Above 4.10M91.0%91.0¢9.0¢
Above 4.40M80.0%80.0¢20.0¢
Above 4.70M65.0%65.0¢35.0¢
Above 5.00M52.0%52.0¢48.0¢
Above 5.30M39.0%39.0¢61.0¢
Above 5.60M26.0%26.0¢74.0¢
Above 5.90M16.0%16.0¢84.0¢
Above 6.10M13.0%13.0¢87.0¢
Above 6.40M8.0%8.0¢92.0¢
Above 6.70M6.0%6.0¢94.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 3.80M:

If the total vote count for all participants in Michigan Senate General Election is above 3800000, then the market resolves to Yes. The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification. In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority. The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals. Preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify. If the election is postponed but held within one year of the originally scheduled date, the contract remains valid; if postponed beyond one year or canceled, all contracts resolve to No.

Sources

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