Michigan Senate election: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:57 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 44% (94.0%), At least 46% (93.0%), At least 48% (72.0%). The market has $5K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
At least 44%94.0%94.0¢6.0¢
At least 46%93.0%93.0¢7.0¢
At least 48%72.0%72.0¢28.0¢
At least 50%42.0%42.0¢58.0¢
At least 52%17.0%17.0¢83.0¢
At least 54%9.0%9.0¢91.0¢
At least 56%6.0%6.0¢94.0¢
At least 58%6.0%6.0¢94.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 44%:

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Senate election is 44% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Abdul El-Sayed ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

Sources

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