Michigan: Benson's margin vs. El-Sayed's margin?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:01 UTC, Kalshi traders price Benson by 3-6 (31.0%), Benson by 0-3 (28.0%), Benson by 6-9 (25.0%). The market has $9K in volume and closes on Wed, 02 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Benson by 3-6 | 31.0% | 31.0¢ | 69.0¢ |
| Benson by 0-3 | 28.0% | 28.0¢ | 72.0¢ |
| Benson by 6-9 | 25.0% | 25.0¢ | 75.0¢ |
| Benson by 9-12 | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| Benson by 15+ | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Benson by 12-15 | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| El-Sayed by 0-3 | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| El-Sayed by 3+ | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $9K
- Liquidity: $9K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Benson by 3-6:
If Jocelyn Benson's margin in the Michigan governor election minus Abdul El-Sayed's margin in the Michigan U.S. Senate election is between 3 and 6 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Each candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. A margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places, and a range includes its lower number but not its upper number.
Sources
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