ME-01 House election: Ronald Russell vote percent (1st Round)
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:10 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 30% (95.0%), At least 28% (93.0%), At least 32% (86.0%). The market has $5K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 30% | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| At least 28% | 93.0% | 93.0¢ | 7.0¢ |
| At least 32% | 86.0% | 86.0¢ | 14.0¢ |
| At least 34% | 71.0% | 71.0¢ | 29.0¢ |
| At least 36% | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| At least 38% | 30.0% | 30.0¢ | 70.0¢ |
| At least 40% | 15.0% | 15.0¢ | 85.0¢ |
| At least 42% | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $5K
- Liquidity: $5K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 30%:
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Ronald Russell in the first round of the 2026 ME-01 House election is 30% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Ronald Russell ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. The percentage is based on the first round of voting.
Sources
Related markets
- 2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- California Governor winner? (Person)
- Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.