MD-05 House election: Chris Chaffee vote percent
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:10 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 20% (95.0%), At least 22% (90.0%), At least 24% (81.0%). The market has $6K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 20% | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| At least 22% | 90.0% | 90.0¢ | 10.0¢ |
| At least 24% | 81.0% | 81.0¢ | 19.0¢ |
| At least 26% | 69.0% | 69.0¢ | 31.0¢ |
| At least 28% | 52.0% | 52.0¢ | 48.0¢ |
| At least 30% | 37.0% | 37.0¢ | 63.0¢ |
| At least 32% | 23.0% | 23.0¢ | 77.0¢ |
| At least 34% | 13.0% | 13.0¢ | 87.0¢ |
| At least 36% | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $6K
- Liquidity: $6K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 20%:
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Chris Chaffee in the 2026 MD-05 House election is 20% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Chris Chaffee ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
Sources
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