MD-04 House election: George McDermott vote percent
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:10 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 2% (94.0%), At least 4% (93.0%), At least 6% (88.0%). The market has $5K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 2% | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| At least 4% | 93.0% | 93.0¢ | 7.0¢ |
| At least 6% | 88.0% | 88.0¢ | 12.0¢ |
| At least 8% | 72.0% | 72.0¢ | 28.0¢ |
| At least 10% | 52.0% | 52.0¢ | 48.0¢ |
| At least 12% | 38.0% | 38.0¢ | 62.0¢ |
| At least 14% | 27.0% | 27.0¢ | 73.0¢ |
| At least 16% | 15.0% | 15.0¢ | 85.0¢ |
| At least 18% | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $5K
- Liquidity: $5K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 2%:
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by George McDermott in the 2026 MD-04 House election is 2% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by George McDermott ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
Sources
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