MD-02 House election: Dave Wallace vote percent
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 20:59:33 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 28% (91.0%), At least 30% (90.0%), At least 32% (77.0%). The market has $3K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 28% | 91.0% | 91.0¢ | 9.0¢ |
| At least 30% | 90.0% | 90.0¢ | 10.0¢ |
| At least 32% | 77.0% | 77.0¢ | 23.0¢ |
| At least 34% | 62.0% | 62.0¢ | 38.0¢ |
| At least 36% | 43.0% | 43.0¢ | 57.0¢ |
| At least 38% | 27.0% | 27.0¢ | 73.0¢ |
| At least 40% | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| At least 44% | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| At least 42% | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $3K
- Liquidity: $3K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 28%:
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Dave Wallace in the 2026 MD-02 House election is 28% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Dave Wallace ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
Sources
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