Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by...?
As of Thu, 05 Nov 2026 21:20:15 UTC, Polymarket traders price March 31, 2027 (37.0%), December 31, 2026 (26.0%), November 30, 2026 (17.0%). The market has $16K in volume and closes on Thu, 01 Apr 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| March 31, 2027 | 37.0% | 37.0¢ | 63.0¢ |
| December 31, 2026 | 26.0% | 26.0¢ | 74.0¢ |
| November 30, 2026 | 17.0% | 17.0¢ | 83.0¢ |
| November 15, 2026 | 9.5% | 9.5¢ | 90.5¢ |
| November 8, 2026 | 4.5% | 4.5¢ | 95.5¢ |
| November 6, 2026 | 1.4% | 1.4¢ | 98.7¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $16K
- Liquidity: $70K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Marco Rubio ceases to be U.S. Secretary of State for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Marco Rubio's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Marco Rubio and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources
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