Major company hacked via PHP flaw by...?
As of Wed, 21 Oct 2026 17:20:04 UTC, Polymarket traders price December 31 (53.5%), November 30 (32.0%). The market has $4K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 53.5% | 53.5¢ | 46.5¢ |
| November 30 | 32.0% | 32.0¢ | 68.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $4K
- Liquidity: $41K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, a major company is confirmed to have been breached through the exploitation of a vulnerability in PHP. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying vulnerability is any vulnerability in PHP itself, meaning the PHP interpreter and the extensions bundled in the official php-src source code, including but not limited to CVE-2026-109618 and CVE-2026-109619 (known as “PHP2Shell”). Vulnerabilities in third-party software written in or running on PHP (for example, WordPress, Laravel, Drupal, plugins, or other frameworks and libraries) will not qualify. A major company is a company with a market capitalization of at least $1 billion (for publicly traded companies, as of the date the breach is confirmed) or a most recent publicly reported valuation of at least $1 billion (for privately held companies), or a wholly owned subsidiary of such a company. Government entities, non-profit organizations, and other non-commercial bodies will not qualify. A breach means unauthorized access to, or control of, the company's systems or data, achieved by exploiting a qualifying vulnerability. Precautionary shutdowns, patching, scanning, and attempted attacks that did not result in unauthorized access will not qualify. To qualify, the breach and its attribution to a qualifying vulnerability must be confirmed within this market's timeframe by at least one of the following: - An official st…
Sources
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