Maine: Pingree's margin vs. Jackson's margin?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:03 UTC, Kalshi traders price Pingree by 12-16 (32.0%), Pingree by 8-12 (30.0%), Pingree by 4-8 (12.0%). The market has $10K in volume and closes on Tue, 08 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pingree by 12-16 | 32.0% | 32.0¢ | 68.0¢ |
| Pingree by 8-12 | 30.0% | 30.0¢ | 70.0¢ |
| Pingree by 4-8 | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
| Pingree by 16-20 | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| Pingree by 20+ | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Pingree by 0-4 | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Jackson by 0+ | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $10K
- Liquidity: $10K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Pingree by 12-16:
If Hannah Pingree's margin in the Maine governor election minus Troy Jackson's margin in the Maine U.S. Senate election is between 12 and 16 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Each candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. Percentages are based on first-choice votes, before any ranked-choice elimination. A margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places, and a range includes its lower number but not its upper number.
Sources
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