MA-04 House election: Tom Stalcup vote percent
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 20:59:33 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 28% (94.0%), At least 26% (93.0%), At least 30% (81.0%). The market has $5K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 28% | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| At least 26% | 93.0% | 93.0¢ | 7.0¢ |
| At least 30% | 81.0% | 81.0¢ | 19.0¢ |
| At least 32% | 65.0% | 65.0¢ | 35.0¢ |
| At least 34% | 43.0% | 43.0¢ | 57.0¢ |
| At least 36% | 26.0% | 26.0¢ | 74.0¢ |
| At least 38% | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
| At least 40% | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| At least 42% | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $5K
- Liquidity: $5K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 28%:
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Tom Stalcup in the 2026 MA-04 House election is 28% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Tom Stalcup ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
Sources
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