MA-03 House election: Lori Trahan vote percent

As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 20:59:38 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 58% (93.0%), At least 60% (90.0%), At least 62% (89.0%). The market has $3K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
At least 58%93.0%93.0¢7.0¢
At least 60%90.0%90.0¢10.0¢
At least 62%89.0%89.0¢11.0¢
At least 64%74.0%74.0¢26.0¢
At least 66%53.0%53.0¢47.0¢
At least 68%33.0%33.0¢67.0¢
At least 70%16.0%16.0¢84.0¢
At least 72%7.0%7.0¢93.0¢
At least 74%5.0%5.0¢95.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 58%:

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Lori Trahan in the 2026 MA-03 House election is 58% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Lori Trahan ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

Sources

Related markets

DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.