Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Nithya Raman)
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:59 UTC, Kalshi traders price Nithya Raman, ≥2% (48.0%), Nithya Raman, ≥4% (43.0%), Nithya Raman, ≥6% (30.0%). The market has $11K in volume and closes on Wed, 03 Nov 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nithya Raman, ≥2% | 48.0% | 48.0¢ | 52.0¢ |
| Nithya Raman, ≥4% | 43.0% | 43.0¢ | 57.0¢ |
| Nithya Raman, ≥6% | 30.0% | 30.0¢ | 70.0¢ |
| Nithya Raman, ≥8% | 28.0% | 28.0¢ | 72.0¢ |
| Nithya Raman, ≥10% | 22.0% | 22.0¢ | 78.0¢ |
| Nithya Raman, ≥12% | 16.0% | 16.0¢ | 84.0¢ |
| Nithya Raman, ≥14% | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| Nithya Raman, ≥16% | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $11K
- Liquidity: $11K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Nithya Raman, ≥2%:
If the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 2% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Nithya Raman minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Nithya Raman if Nithya Raman wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Nithya Raman loses. If Nithya Raman wins, the margin will be positive; if Nithya Raman loses, the margin will be negative; if Nithya Raman ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Nithya Raman runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.
Sources
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