Lima Mayoral Election Winner
As of Tue, 15 Sep 2026 10:15:21 UTC, Polymarket traders price Rafael López Aliaga (86.7%), Francis James Allison Oyague (1.2%), Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca (0.3%). The market has $368K in volume and closes on Mon, 05 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael López Aliaga | 86.7% | 86.7¢ | 13.4¢ |
| Francis James Allison Oyague | 1.2% | 1.2¢ | 98.8¢ |
| Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca | 0.3% | 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ |
| Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ |
| Rubén Daniel Bonilla Espinoza | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Edgardo Renán De Pomar Vizcarra | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Santiago Rosendo Abarca León | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Samuel Marcos Daza Taype | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Jessica Viviana Linares Romero | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Rubén José Ramírez Mateo | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Flor de María Hurtado Valdez | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Segundo Valdez Zavala | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Sandro Caller Gutiérrez | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $368K
- Liquidity: $342K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Sources
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