Leonardo da Vinci's artwork break auction record this season?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:05 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (6.0%). The market has $30K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Yes6.0%6.0¢94.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

If the highest auction sale price of any Leonardo da Vinci artwork sold at auction on any public auction house reporting final sale prices is above $450312500 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. “Sale Price” refers to the final publicly reported realized price of the artwork, including buyer’s premium and auction fees, as reported by the relevant Source Agency.

Sources

Related markets

DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.