Most expensive auction work sold this year
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:59 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above $150M (98.0%), Above $200M (50.0%), Above $250M (24.0%). The market has $60K in volume and closes on Thu, 31 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above $150M | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| Above $200M | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Above $250M | 24.0% | 24.0¢ | 76.0¢ |
| Above $300M | 24.0% | 24.0¢ | 76.0¢ |
| Above $350M | 19.0% | 19.0¢ | 81.0¢ |
| Above $400M | 19.0% | 19.0¢ | 81.0¢ |
| Above $450M | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| Above $500M | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $60K
- Liquidity: $60K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above $150M:
If the highest auction work sale price of any artwork on Artsy is above $150M in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. For resolution purposes, “highest auction artwork sale price” refers to the single highest auction artwork sale price explicitly reported by the Source Agency in its publication “Most Expensive Auction Works in 2026.” Only artworks publicly sold at auction and explicitly reported by the Source Agency shall be considered.
Sources
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