ISM Manufacturing PMI in October
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:58 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 51 (95.0%), At least 52 (92.0%), At least 53 (84.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Mon, 02 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 51 | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| At least 52 | 92.0% | 92.0¢ | 8.0¢ |
| At least 53 | 84.0% | 84.0¢ | 16.0¢ |
| At least 54 | 47.0% | 47.0¢ | 53.0¢ |
| At least 55 | 37.0% | 37.0¢ | 63.0¢ |
| At least 58 | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| At least 56 | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| At least 57 | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 51:
If the headline PMI value in the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business for Oct 2026, as published by ISM (one decimal place), is at least 51, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
Related markets
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- CPI in September
- How high will inflation get this year?
- CPI in October
- Core CPI in October
- CPI YoY in November
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