Iran Nuke before 2027?
As of Tue, 08 Sep 2026 09:25:59 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes (2.9%). The market has $4K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2.9% | 2.9¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $4K
- Liquidity: $111K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources
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