Iowa: Sand's margin vs. Turek's margin?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:03 UTC, Kalshi traders price Sand by 6-9 (30.0%), Sand by 3-6 (26.0%), Sand by 9-12 (20.0%). The market has $25K in volume and closes on Tue, 08 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sand by 6-9 | 30.0% | 30.0¢ | 70.0¢ |
| Sand by 3-6 | 26.0% | 26.0¢ | 74.0¢ |
| Sand by 9-12 | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| Sand by 12+ | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| Sand by 0-3 | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Turek by 0-3 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Turek by 3+ | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $25K
- Liquidity: $25K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Sand by 6-9:
If Rob Sand's margin in the Iowa governor election minus Josh Turek's margin in the Iowa U.S. Senate election is between 6 and 9 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Each candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. A margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places, and a range includes its lower number but not its upper number.
Sources
Related markets
- Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Maine-Texas Senate Combo
- Blue wave this year?
- Blue tsunami this year?
- California Governor winner? (Person)
- How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.