IN-03 House election: Kelly Thompson vote percent

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:11 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 30% (93.0%), At least 32% (90.0%), At least 34% (89.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
At least 30%93.0%93.0¢7.0¢
At least 32%90.0%90.0¢10.0¢
At least 34%89.0%89.0¢11.0¢
At least 36%76.0%76.0¢24.0¢
At least 38%60.0%60.0¢40.0¢
At least 40%41.0%41.0¢59.0¢
At least 42%24.0%24.0¢76.0¢
At least 44%13.0%13.0¢87.0¢
At least 46%10.0%10.0¢90.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 30%:

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Kelly Thompson in the 2026 IN-03 House election is 30% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Kelly Thompson ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

Sources

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