Illinois Governor election: Darren Bailey vote percent
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:14 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 32% (95.0%), At least 34% (84.0%), At least 36% (66.0%). The market has $5K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 32% | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| At least 34% | 84.0% | 84.0¢ | 16.0¢ |
| At least 36% | 66.0% | 66.0¢ | 34.0¢ |
| At least 38% | 43.0% | 43.0¢ | 57.0¢ |
| At least 40% | 23.0% | 23.0¢ | 77.0¢ |
| At least 42% | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| At least 44% | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| At least 48% | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| At least 46% | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| At least 50% | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $5K
- Liquidity: $5K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 32%:
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Darren Bailey in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election is 32% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Darren Bailey ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
Sources
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