IL-16 House election: Darin LaHood vote percent
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:11 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 52% (95.0%), At least 50% (93.0%), At least 54% (87.0%). The market has $5K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 52% | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| At least 50% | 93.0% | 93.0¢ | 7.0¢ |
| At least 54% | 87.0% | 87.0¢ | 13.0¢ |
| At least 56% | 74.0% | 74.0¢ | 26.0¢ |
| At least 58% | 54.0% | 54.0¢ | 46.0¢ |
| At least 60% | 35.0% | 35.0¢ | 65.0¢ |
| At least 62% | 19.0% | 19.0¢ | 81.0¢ |
| At least 64% | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| At least 66% | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $5K
- Liquidity: $5K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 52%:
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Darin LaHood in the 2026 IL-16 House election is 52% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Darin LaHood ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
Sources
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