Idaho Senate election: Natalie Fleming vote percent

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:07 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 1% (82.0%), At least 2% (59.0%), At least 3% (43.0%). The market has $6K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
At least 1%82.0%82.0¢18.0¢
At least 2%59.0%59.0¢41.0¢
At least 3%43.0%43.0¢57.0¢
At least 4%33.0%33.0¢67.0¢
At least 5%24.0%24.0¢76.0¢
At least 6%20.0%20.0¢80.0¢
At least 7%15.0%15.0¢85.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 1%:

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Natalie Fleming in the 2026 Idaho Senate election is 1% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Natalie Fleming ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

Sources

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