ID-02 House election: Elinor Gilbreath vote percent
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 20:59:38 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 34% (94.0%), At least 32% (93.0%), At least 36% (83.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 34% | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| At least 32% | 93.0% | 93.0¢ | 7.0¢ |
| At least 36% | 83.0% | 83.0¢ | 17.0¢ |
| At least 38% | 65.0% | 65.0¢ | 35.0¢ |
| At least 40% | 41.0% | 41.0¢ | 59.0¢ |
| At least 42% | 26.0% | 26.0¢ | 74.0¢ |
| At least 44% | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| At least 48% | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| At least 46% | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $1K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 34%:
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Elinor Gilbreath in the 2026 ID-02 House election is 34% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Elinor Gilbreath ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
Sources
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