IBOVESPA closing level on Monday

As of Fri, 23 Oct 2026 18:46:40 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 193,000 points (97.0%), At least 220,000 points (92.0%), At least 194,000 points (86.0%). The market has $11K in volume and closes on Mon, 26 Oct 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
At least 193,000 points97.0%97.0¢3.0¢
At least 220,000 points92.0%92.0¢8.0¢
At least 194,000 points86.0%86.0¢14.0¢
At least 191,000 points81.0%81.0¢19.0¢
At least 190,000 points80.0%80.0¢20.0¢
At least 192,000 points75.0%75.0¢25.0¢
At least 197,000 points73.0%73.0¢27.0¢
At least 195,000 points67.0%67.0¢33.0¢
At least 196,000 points64.0%64.0¢36.0¢
At least 203,000 points63.0%63.0¢37.0¢
At least 199,000 points63.0%63.0¢37.0¢
At least 198,000 points61.0%61.0¢39.0¢
At least 201,000 points58.0%58.0¢42.0¢
At least 202,000 points58.0%58.0¢42.0¢
At least 206,000 points54.0%54.0¢46.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 193,000 points:

If the value of IBOVESPA (IBOV), in native index points is at least 193,000 index points at the official B3 closing observation on October 26, 2026 (Brazil trading date), then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves using the official IBOVESPA (IBOV) closing level for October 26, 2026, including the closing auction. The observation is the official close for that Brazil trading date, even if its publication is delayed. The native index-point level is used, with no currency conversion; this explicitly overrides the default USD iteration. Source Agencies apply in the filed hierarchical order: the index, its provider (B3), TradingView, Trading Economics, Bloomberg News, The New York Times, BBC, CNBC, and CNN. TradingView's IBOV page is https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-IBOV/. The observation is evaluated to two decimal places. If it is at least 193,000 index points, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. An earlier threshold crossing does not satisfy this closing or exact-time observation. Revisions after expiration are not considered. If no data for the specified observation is available by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than No data or None resolve to No, as provided in the filed terms. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the B3. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Sources

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