IA-04 House election: Chris McGowan vote percent
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:11 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 54% (94.0%), At least 56% (83.0%), At least 58% (66.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 54% | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| At least 56% | 83.0% | 83.0¢ | 17.0¢ |
| At least 58% | 66.0% | 66.0¢ | 34.0¢ |
| At least 60% | 46.0% | 46.0¢ | 54.0¢ |
| At least 62% | 27.0% | 27.0¢ | 73.0¢ |
| At least 64% | 13.0% | 13.0¢ | 87.0¢ |
| At least 66% | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| At least 70% | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| At least 68% | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 54%:
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Chris McGowan in the 2026 IA-04 House election is 54% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Chris McGowan ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
Sources
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