I bond fixed rate in November 2026
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:58 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 1.0% (97.0%), Above 0.8% (96.0%), Above 1.2% (91.0%). The market has $17K in volume and closes on Mon, 09 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 1.0% | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| Above 0.8% | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| Above 1.2% | 91.0% | 91.0¢ | 9.0¢ |
| Above 1.4% | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Above 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Above 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $17K
- Liquidity: $17K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 1.0%:
If the annual fixed rate for Series I savings bonds issued from November 1, 2026 through April 30, 2027, as announced by the U.S. Department of the Treasury, is above 1.0%, then the market resolves to Yes. The “fixed rate” refers only to the annual fixed-rate component assigned to Series I savings bonds when issued. It does not refer to the semiannual inflation rate or the composite interest rate. The reported fixed rate will be used without rounding. Subsequent revisions or corrections published after the initial official announcement will not be considered
Sources
Related markets
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- CPI in September
- How high will inflation get this year?
- CPI in October
- Core CPI in October
- CPI YoY in November
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