Hung Cao confirmed as Secretary of the Navy by...?

As of Sun, 18 Oct 2026 04:55:34 UTC, Polymarket traders price December 31 (37.5%), November 30 (30.0%), October 31 (4.3%). The market has $3K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
December 3137.5%37.5¢62.5¢
November 3030.0%30.0¢70.0¢
October 314.3%4.3¢95.7¢

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hung Cao is confirmed by the U.S. Senate as Secretary of the Navy by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Hung Cao's nomination is formally withdrawn, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Secretary of the Navy for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Hung Cao's service as Acting Secretary of the Navy will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sources

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