How much will core PCE increase in August 2026?
As of Wed, 30 Sep 2026 02:44:04 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 0.1% (98.0%), Above 0.0% (95.0%), Above 0.2% (74.0%). The market has $18K in volume and closes on Wed, 30 Sep 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 0.1% | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| Above 0.0% | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| Above 0.2% | 74.0% | 74.0¢ | 26.0¢ |
| Above 0.3% | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Above 0.4% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Above 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Above 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Above 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $18K
- Liquidity: $18K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 0.1%:
If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.1% in August 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close at 8:25 AM ET on the expected release of the data. It will expire at the sooner of the first 10:00 AM ET following the release of the data, or one week after the expected release of the data.
Sources
Related markets
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- CPI in September
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- CPI in October
- Core CPI in October
- CPI YoY in November
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